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	<title>Home In Babylon &#187; sub-prime</title>
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	<link>http://homeinbabylon.com</link>
	<description>My house is where I want to be and it looks like all my dreams</description>
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		<title>An Empire Built On Bad Loans</title>
		<link>http://homeinbabylon.com/2008/12/28/an-empire-built-on-bad-loans/</link>
		<comments>http://homeinbabylon.com/2008/12/28/an-empire-built-on-bad-loans/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Dec 2008 14:01:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gary</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bad loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MBS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sub-prime]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sub-sub-prime]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wamu]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homeinbabylon.com/?p=228</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In today&#8217;s New York Times via Obsidian Wings. It&#8217;s hard to know what to excerpt here. The whole article is so shocking, you should really read the whole thing. However, this part was too good to not quote. Yet even by WaMu’s relaxed standards, one mortgage four years ago raised eyebrows. The borrower was claiming [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a title="Los Mariachis de Oaxaca by waywuwei, on Flickr" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/waywuwei/123398017/"><img class="alignright" src="http://farm1.static.flickr.com/39/123398017_a23805fe2c.jpg" alt="Los Mariachis de Oaxaca" width="183" height="250" /></a></p>
<p>In today&#8217;s <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/28/business/28wamu.html?_r=1&amp;adxnnl=1&amp;partner=rss&amp;emc=rss&amp;adxnnlx=1230441239-8VhVlubh5FC6AJpG2xX86w&amp;pagewanted=all">New York Times</a> via <a href="http://obsidianwings.blogs.com/obsidian_wings/2008/12/wamu.html">Obsidian Wings</a>.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s hard to know what to excerpt here. The whole article is so shocking, you should really <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/28/business/28wamu.html?_r=1&amp;adxnnl=1&amp;partner=rss&amp;emc=rss&amp;adxnnlx=1230441239-8VhVlubh5FC6AJpG2xX86w&amp;pagewanted=all">read the whole thing</a>. However, this part was too good to not quote.</p>
<blockquote><p>Yet even by WaMu’s relaxed standards, one mortgage four years ago raised eyebrows. The borrower was claiming a six-figure income and an unusual profession: mariachi singer.</p>
<p>Mr. Parsons could not verify the singer’s income, so he had him photographed in front of his home dressed in his mariachi outfit. The photo went into a WaMu file. Approved.</p></blockquote>
<p>Note to my bank: please include the photo to the right in my loan application.</p>
<blockquote><p>    WaMu gave mortgage brokers handsome commissions for selling the riskiest loans, which carried higher fees, bolstering profits and ultimately the compensation of the bank&#8217;s executives. WaMu pressured appraisers to provide inflated property values that made loans appear less risky, enabling Wall Street to bundle them more easily for sale to investors.</p>
<p>    &#8220;It was the Wild West,&#8221; said Steven M. Knobel, a founder of an appraisal company, Mitchell, Maxwell &#038; Jackson, that did business with WaMu until 2007. &#8220;If you were alive, they would give you a loan. Actually, I think if you were dead, they would still give you a loan.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>I&#8217;m a little sad to see Wamu flushed down the tubes like this. I have my business checking acount with them and they&#8217;ve always given me good customer service. Yes, their new branches do look more like cell phone stores than banks, but that&#8217;s a small price to pay.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Panic</title>
		<link>http://homeinbabylon.com/2008/12/20/panic/</link>
		<comments>http://homeinbabylon.com/2008/12/20/panic/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Dec 2008 03:36:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gary</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blind side]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[michael lewis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[moneyball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[panic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sub-prime]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homeinbabylon.com/?p=208</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m a big fan of Michael Lewis. I loved both Moneyball and The Blind Side, two great books about the economics and strategic evolution of sports. I just finished his first book, Liar&#8217;s Poker: Rising Through the Wreckage on Wall Street. Lewis spent a few years in the mid-eighties working for Soloman Brothers as a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://homeinbabylon.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/51pf0vboi9l_sl160_.jpg" alt="Panic Cover" title="Panic Cover" width="106" height="160" class="alignright size-full wp-image-211" /><br />
I&#8217;m a big fan of Michael Lewis. I loved both Moneyball and The Blind Side, two great books about the economics and strategic evolution of sports. I just finished his first book, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0140143459/monstermoviet-20">Liar&#8217;s Poker: Rising Through the Wreckage on Wall Street</a>. Lewis spent a few years in the mid-eighties working for Soloman Brothers as a bond salesman. Liar&#8217;s Poker is about his time there as he progressed form trainee to geek to salesman to Big Swinging D-ck. It&#8217;s a great read and it really skewers the greed, ruthlessness and ambition that fuel the financial services market.</p>
<p>He&#8217;s got a new book out, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0393065146/monstermoviet-20">Panic: The Story of Modern Financial Insanity</a>, a a more general book about notable financial catastrophes of the last twenty years, including the current sub-prime debacle. I&#8217;m really looking forward to reading this one.</p>
<p>He recently wrote <a href="http://www.portfolio.com/news-markets/national-news/portfolio/2008/11/11/The-End-of-Wall-Streets-Boom?tid=true">a spectacular article</a> on the ongoing financial meltdown, told from the perspective of some smart cookies who saw the crisis coming and moved their assets around to take advantage of the coming bust. </p>
<blockquote><p>There’s a long list of people who now say they saw it coming all along but a far shorter one of people who actually did. Of those, even fewer had the nerve to bet on their vision. It’s not easy to stand apart from mass hysteria—to believe that most of what’s in the financial news is wrong or distorted, to believe that most important financial people are either lying or deluded—without actually being insane. A handful of people had been inside the black box, understood how it worked, and bet on it blowing up. Whitney rattled off a list with a half-dozen names on it. At the top was Steve Eisman.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>At the end of 2004, Eisman, Moses, and Daniel shared a sense that unhealthy things were going on in the U.S. housing market: Lots of firms were lending money to people who shouldn’t have been borrowing it. They thought Alan Greenspan’s decision after the internet bust to lower interest rates to 1 percent was a travesty that would lead to some terrible day of reckoning. Neither of these insights was entirely original. Ivy Zelman, at the time the housing-market analyst at Credit Suisse, had seen the bubble forming very early on. There’s a simple measure of sanity in housing prices: the ratio of median home price to income. Historically, it runs around 3 to 1; by late 2004, it had risen nationally to 4 to 1. “All these people were saying it was nearly as high in some other countries,” Zelman says. “But the problem wasn’t just that it was 4 to 1. In Los Angeles, it was 10 to 1, and in Miami, 8.5 to 1. And then you coupled that with the buyers. They weren’t real buyers.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>There was only one thing that bothered Eisman, and it continued to trouble him as late as May 2007. “The thing we couldn’t figure out is: It’s so obvious. Why hasn’t everyone else figured out that the machine is done?” Eisman had long subscribed to Grant’s Interest Rate Observer, a newsletter famous in Wall Street circles and obscure outside them. Jim Grant, its editor, had been prophesying doom ever since the great debt cycle began, in the mid-1980s. In late 2006, he decided to investigate these things called C.D.O.’s. Or rather, he had asked his young assistant, Dan Gertner, a chemical engineer with an M.B.A., to see if he could understand them. Gertner went off with the documents that purported to explain C.D.O.’s to potential investors and for several days sweated and groaned and heaved and suffered. “Then he came back,” says Grant, “and said, ‘I can’t figure this thing out.’ And I said, ‘I think we have our story.’ ”
</p></blockquote>
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